#We have not had much time to study polynomial regression, but let's try a little bit here. Take this US census data. #We'll fit a 2nd-order (quadratic) and 3rd-order (cubic) model to the data up to 1960, then use it to predict into the "future" of 1970-2010 to see which one gives better results. #As a side note, the coefficients are nicer if we recenter the x values so x=0 is the year 1900, so that's already done here: Year,YearMinus1900,Population 1790,-110,3929214 1800,-100,5236631 1810,-90,7239881 1820,-80,9638453 1830,-70,12866020 1840,-60,17069453 1850,-50,23191876 1860,-40,31443321 1870,-30,38558371 1880,-20,49371340 1890,-10,62979766 1900,0,76212168 1910,10,92228496 1920,20,106021537 1930,30,123202624 1940,40,132164569 1950,50,151325798 1960,60,179323175 1970,70,203211926 1980,80,226545805 1990,90,248709873 2000,100,281421906 2010,110,308745538